Friday, May 29, 2009

One is the lonliest number

No one has enjoyed watching the dethroning of King James and his band of Cavaliers at the hands of the oft-written-off Orlando Magic in the Eastern Conference Finals more than I have. I typically try to be as objective as possible when I watch games, but I find myself rooting for the Magic. Part of it may be an ongoing debate with my roommate, who said that the Magic weren't legit, while I tapped them as my dark horse. The talk always focused on Cleveland and Boston, and rightly so, but I feel that the Magic were unfairly written off after the injury to Jameer Nelson earlier in the season just before the trade deadline.

The other part of this series is that I am very intrigued by is a paradigm shift that seems to defy what the pundits have said for about fifteen years. Ever since Jordan won those six championships the NBA has become a “stars' league.” Every single team in the league is bent on building up excesses of salary cap space so that they can lure a LeBron James or a Kobe Bryant or a Dwyane Wade to their team with a max contract.

But is that really the way that teams should approach constructing their teams? Is offering top-tier players max contracts and eating up salary space the best way to win? Well, let's take a look at recent history, post-Michael.

The San Antonio Spurs have had Tim Duncan, but they have always had a solid supporting cast around him, whether it be Sean Elliot and David Robinson or Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili, who could all be perennial all-stars. The focus of that team was not simply Duncan, but team basketball in which everyone was involved.

The Lakers may be a semi-exception, as they acquired Shaq just before they went on their run, but they had a very solid team. Derek Fisher, Rick Fox and Robert Horry were all very capable players in their own rights. But the difference is that they built their team around two players – Kobe and Shaq. They had a combo that was tough to counter.

The team that upended the Lakers – the Pistons – were the antithesis to the star power theory. They had no real superstars or big-time players, just a nice collection of players that were dedicated to a common goal – defense and winning.

The Miami Heat were configured very similarly to the Lakers, with Kobe being substituted for Dwyane Wade alongside Shaq. They had two players that teams had to deal with that could kill them on any given night.

The Celtics of just one year ago had three players – Garnett, Allen and Pierce – that could light it up and torch a team. In addition, they had a cast of solid role players.

So it is through that lens that I view the current situation in this year's playoffs. If we take past precedents into consideration, Cleveland is the least like the teams that were mentioned above. Outside of LeBron, there is not a consistent threat on the floor. Mo Williams has his moments, but he has been disappointing to say the least during the Conference Finals. Delonte West is in the same boat. Despite LeBron averaging numbers that no human being should average over a number of games, he just doesn't have any support from his mates. Sure, last night he finally got some help and the Cvs won, but that was the first time this series that multiplie players outside of LeBron have put up decent numbers.

Looking at Orlando and Denver and Los Angeles, however, those teams are built for championships. Each of them have undisputed team leaders – Dwight Howard, Carmelo Anthony and Kobe Bryant, respectively – solid support players – Rashard Lewis/Hedo Turkeglo, Chauncey Billups and Pau Gasol/Andrew Bynum/Lamar Odom, respectively – and solid role players. If one of these teams has an off night from one of their players, there are more than enough adept players to pick up the slack. That just isn't the case with the Cavs.

Perhaps that is why the Cavs are the team that has the longest shot to get to the Finals.

Think I made some great points? Did I say something that you disagree with? Anything that you think I missed? Let me know: comment below.

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2 comments:

  1. This is the Krank.

    Your brutal yet fair calling out of my poor comments concerning the Magic are sound, but keep in mind the Magic are a much different team than earlier in the season.

    While Rafer Alston is certainly not an upgrade from Jameer Nelson, he has played very well at times and has done an adequate job filling in.

    The reason the Magic are doing so darned well against the Cavs is mostly based on match ups, the same reason Detroit has success against the Magic. I should have seen it coming. The puny Cleveland guards cannot guard Rashard, Hedo, or even Pietrus for that matter (who has been a huge surprise and lift for ORL). Also, LeBron can only guard one player at a time, leaving either Hedo or Rashard free to abuse one of Cleveland's plodding bigs. Mo and Delonte have missed open looks, and the bench has been nonexistent.

    While it is difficult to gauge how good Boston truly was without Garnett this postseason, the Magic struggled against them at times but came together as a team in game 7. Their newfound confidence is a major reason for their success, as in big situations in the 4th quarter prior to that series, the Magic would often collapse. Inexplicable turnovers, poor shot selection, JJ Redick getting playing time... it was ugly. That is why I did not think the Magic were legit. The talent was there, but not the championship focus and intensity. Now, the Magic are confident and are closing games.

    For Cleveland to win, they should post up LeBron... a LOT. No one in the league can guard him down low. His strength and quickness could only be countered by perhaps a Bosh-esque defender. Also, CLE should stop doubling Howard and give Big Ben more time on him. The Magic are killing CLE from downtown, and Howard is not the most reliable FT shooter despite his recent improvement. Wally World should never, ever play. Boobie Gibson should get more attempts, as he has proven to be a clutch shooter both now and previously in the playoffs..... (See Choke, Detroit Pistons). Also, Mike Brown should learn to run an offense. If Phil Jackson coached LeBron, scary things would be happening out there.

    I agree with your thoughts on the Magic being more well built for a championship. However, CLE was just that earlier in the playoffs. The matchups against the Magic have made Cleveland look like the flawed team they were two years ago and perhaps still are. Will this series result in a miraculous comeback, or a booked trip to New York for LeBron? We will soon find out.

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  2. I agree that the match-up against the Magic has made Cleveland look like the the flawed team they were two years ago, but I will go the extra step and say that they are still flawed like that and will be until they get a legitimate second option. Mo Williams was great over long stretches in the regular season, but he has crumbled in the playoffs for some inexplicable reason. You cannot win with one singular superstar and just an adequate supporting cast. Jordan had Pippen, Shaq had Kobe, Dwyane had Kobe. LeBron has Mo? LeBron has Boobie? No, that's not good enough.

    I agree with the idea that LeBron should post up more. I believe they tried to do that in game 5, especially at the beginning, but the Magic adapted and came back and nearly won.

    I think that the worst thing that Cleveland could do is stop doubling Dwight Howard. Put Ben Wallace on him? Ben is getting old, he's lost a step since his Piston days. To be quite frank, Howard is bigger and stronger and quicker than Wallace, and has exhibited an increased proficiency in the low post. Eventually, the Cavs would be forced to double Howard just to stop the bleeding. And then the inside-out game would ensue again.

    However, Cleveland doesn't have that same luxury. Even if they post LeBron up, Dwight is waiting in the wings to help out. And what is the worst that could happen? He dishes off to Z on the weak side? Howard is quick enough to get back over to Z and block the shot. The only good thing that could come from it would be to get Rashard Lewis in foul trouble, though Lewis is a great defender in his own right. Honestly, though, I would still put Pietrus on him, because LeBron isn't going to sit in the post all day long and the Magic have had reasonable results with that matchup, because it has forced LeBron to work to get his numbers, which takes other players out of the mix.

    You're right, its all about matchups. That's what the league is all about. Sure, the Magic got lucky by not having to face Garnett, but that was a tough matchup for Orlando anyway. It is my belief that the Cavs would have beat the Celts, even if Garnett had been healthy. The matchups are in their favor. But injuries cannot be used as an excuse. The Magic lost their starting, all-star-caliber point guard partway through the season, but they adapted.

    What kind of offense are the Cavs supposed to run with that roster? The offense must run through LeBron constantly in order for the Cavs to be a playoff team. There's not much flexibility with that. It all hinges on LeBron, which is a metaphorical condradiction to the idea that you shouldn't put all your eggs in one basket. But everyone is heaping their eggs into LeBron's basket, and the basket was bound to break eventually.

    It appears that time is now.

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